Category Archives: The Economy

Fmr. Shell president ‘predicting’ $5-a-gallon gas in 2012 | Raw Story

I’m not surprised and fully expect this to happen.

Too bad the Government is taking more pr0-active steps to encourage alternative energy, better mass transit, higher gas mileage cars and tax incentives to purchase  hybrid auto’s.

All these steps would also help grow the economy and create jobs…

Epic failure of leadership in Washington…

The former president of Shell Oil said he believes Americans could be paying $5 for a gallon a gas by 2012.

“I’m predicting actually the worst outcome over the next two years which takes us to 2012 with higher gasoline prices,” John Hofmeister said in a recent interview with Platts Energy Week television.

Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst with Oil Price Information Service, agreed that Americans would see $5 a gallon gas but told CNN that he did not believe it would happen in 2012. “That wolf is out there and it’s going to be at the door…I agree with him that we’ll see those numbers at some point this decade but not yet.”

“The demand is still sluggish enough in some of the mature economies,” he said.

Hofmeister also predicted that demand would outstrip supply before the end of the decade.

via Fmr. Shell president ‘predicting’ $5-a-gallon gas in 2012 | Raw Story.

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Twenty-Something Turmoil: A Tale of Unemployment From a Would-be Young Professional

Great blog post from a Millennial.  Hat tip to Dailykos …

I encourage you to click-through on the link to read the entire post….

Twenty-somethings with a sense of entitlement, high expectations, and a stalled economy have to learn to become entrepreneurial. But how?

Being jobless in the Great Recession is about much more than making ends meet. While we struggle to pay every bill, we — the freshly minted unemployed — carry around psyches that have come undone in ways that we never expected. I should know. I am in my twenties. Educated. Hard-working. Intellectually proactive. And unable to find a job.

I often find solace playing the blame game: If it weren’t for those baby boomers and their Great Society, I never would have been convinced that if I did everything I was supposed to do in life and played by (most of) the rules, one day I would be successful — or at least employed. In high school, I woke up early, did my homework, studied for exams and participated in extracurriculars I wasn’t always very good at, following a grueling schedule that was exhausting and not always rewarding. I remember justifying my heavy schedule because I wanted to get into a good college. I enjoyed college, but I still worked hard and did plenty of things I didn’t want to because in the back of my mind lingered the self-righteous idea that someone like me would naturally be rewarded with a good job.

But here I am, three years after graduation, and it seems that I was wrong.

MORE:   Twenty-Something Turmoil: A Tale of Unemployment From a Would-be Young Professional » New Deal 2.0.

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Daily Kos: House GOP targets student aid for spending cuts

Scary….

Remember, the GOP doesn’t want a well-educated electorate.  Well-educated, well-informed voters don’t vote for Republicans unless they are rich and self-centered…

And if people were working and therefore paying taxes, if we weren’t fighting two wars and if the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy had not been extended, deficits wouldn’t be an issue….

From DailyKos.com….

As I noted earlier, House Republicans have pledged to cut spending by twenty percent in the coming year, but at least up until now they’ve refused to identify any specific budget cuts.

Well, now that appears to be changing. In addition to blocking any funding for implementing new regulations on Wall Street, House Republicans are arguing that funding for Pell Grants should be cut in the continuing resolution which will fund government until next March.

Democrats did see fit to use the CR to address an important and pressing problem: covering the $5.7 billion shortfall in the Pell Grant program (which provides college tuition funding to low- and moderate-income students). Due to unexpected demand in the wake of the Great Recession, the program needed a funding fix to prevent grant cuts in 2011. Some House Republicans, however, are displeased that the extra funding was included:

House Appropriations Committee ranking member Jerry Lewis (R-Calif.) decried the inclusion of $5.7 billion for the Pell Grant program, which will incur a shortage without additional funding, calling it “a perennial priority of the House Democrat leadership and Appropriations Committee Chairman [David] Obey [D-Wis.]“…The “Democrat majority will cap off the year with yet another massive spending bill that will force our nation into further deficits and debt,” Lewis said in a statement.

Incoming House Appropriations Committee Chairman Hal Rogers (R-KY) emphasized that he intends to cut all federal discretionary spending back to the 2008 level, which would entail significant Pell Grant reductions. Simply allowing the shortfall to persist would reduce grants for 9 million students, with the maximum grant cut by $845.

Because Democrats still control the House, the GOP objections are mostly hot air, but they do serve as a window into what sorts of programs Republicans will try to cut when they take over the House next year. The only question is whether Democrats — in particular, the administration — will fight the GOP on these draconian cuts, or whether they’ll enable the GOP’s unwise austerity program.

via Daily Kos: House GOP targets student aid for spending cuts.

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are-americans-as-poor-as-they-feel: Personal Finance News from Yahoo! Finance

Thanks, to my friend Kirk for passing this on….

Here is an excerpt from the article.  I encourage you to click the link to the full article…

The results show that the relative price of such necessities as groceries and fuel decreased over the past 30 years, while the price of big-ticket items, such as health care and education, more than doubled. Also, many households added expenses for media and technology, such as computers and Internet and cell phone service, which add up to more than $1,000 per person per year, on average, reported The New York Times.

One factor driving the shift in costs: productivity. Barry Bosworth, senior fellow of economic studies at the Brookings Institution, says relative prices are down for such items as electronics, which have had rapid productivity gains over the decades.

Education has been one of the biggest contributors to spending increases. Since 1980 the average cost of college tuition and room and board more than doubled in real dollars (jumping nearly 500 percent in nominal dollars), to $20,435 in 2008 per year, according to the National Center for Education Statistics. The rise can be attributed to several factors, including declining state funding for public universities over the last decade, institutions’ failure to educate more students with fewer resources, and spending on new technology and such services as student counseling, says Sandy Baum, an independent policy analyst for the College Board and professor of economics at Skidmore College.

 

More:  are-americans-as-poor-as-they-feel: Personal Finance News from Yahoo! Finance.

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US Workers Are Incredibly Productive, So Why Aren’t They Earning More? – Yahoo! Finance

Something to think about….

Seriously think about ….

Since 1978, productivity in the nonfarm business sector is up 86% but real compensation per hour is up just 37%. Is that fair?

That’s the question economist Alan Blinder asked in his Friday column in the Wall Street Journal. There are two levels to the conundrum: (1) Why is this happening and (2) What, if anything, should government do to fix it?

Let’s turn to the first question: If the US worker is making more stuff in less time, where is that productivity going if it’s not going to higher wages? For the answer, look at manufacturing. Our industrial production has grown by a factor of five since the 1950s (graph below). Over the same period, manufacturing jobs as a share of the economy have fallen from 25% to 11% in 2008. The difference is machines. Technology helps companies make more stuff, faster, for less money. It also replaces the need for workers. So in the last few decades, manufacturing has learned to produce much more stuff with fewer humans.

More:   US Workers Are Incredibly Productive, So Why Aren’t They Earning More? – Yahoo! Finance.

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When Zombies Win – NYTimes.com

The brilliant Paul Krugman has another great article in the New York Times:

When historians look back at 2008-10, what will puzzle them most, I believe, is the strange triumph of failed ideas. Free-market fundamentalists have been wrong about everything — yet they now dominate the political scene more thoroughly than ever.

How did that happen? How, after runaway banks brought the economy to its knees, did we end up with Ron Paul, who says “I don’t think we need regulators,” about to take over a key House panel overseeing the Fed? How, after the experiences of the Clinton and Bush administrations — the first raised taxes and presided over spectacular job growth; the second cut taxes and presided over anemic growth even before the crisis — did we end up with bipartisan agreement on even more tax cuts?

The answer from the right is that the economic failures of the Obama administration show that big-government policies don’t work. But the response should be, what big-government policies?

More:   When Zombies Win – NYTimes.com.

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Daily Kos: CONFIRMED: New Study Proves That Fox News Makes You Stupid

From Dailykos….

I really can’t believe anyone thinks Fox News is really news…

Yet another study has been released that proves that watching Fox News is detrimental to your intelligence. World Public Opinion, a project managed by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland, conducted a survey of American voters that shows that Fox News viewers are significantly more misinformed than consumers of news from other sources. What’s more, the study shows that greater exposure to Fox News increases misinformation.

So the more you watch, the less you know. Or to be precise, the more you think you know that is actually false.

This study corroborates a previous PIPA study that focused on the Iraq war with similar results. And there was an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that demonstrated the break with reality on the part of Fox viewers with regard to health care. The body of evidence that Fox News is nothing but a propaganda machine dedicated to lies is growing by the day.

In eight of the nine questions below, Fox News placed first in the percentage of those who were misinformed (they placed second in the question on TARP). That’s a pretty high batting average for journalistic fraud. Here is a list of what Fox News viewers believe that just aint so:

91% believe that the stimulus legislation lost jobs.

72% believe that the health reform law will increase the deficit.

72% believe that the economy is getting worse.

60% believe that climate change is not occurring.

49% believe that income taxes have gone up.

63% believe that the stimulus legislation did not include any tax cuts.

56% believe that Obama initiated the GM/Chrysler bailout.

38% believe that most Republicans opposed TARP.

63% believe that Obama was not born in the US (or that it is unclear).

The conclusion is inescapable. Fox News is deliberately misinforming their viewers and they are doing it for a reason. Every issue above is one in which the Republican Party had a vested interest. They benefited from the ignorance that Fox News helped to proliferate. The results were apparent in the election last month as voters based their decisions on demonstrably false information fed to them by Fox News.

via Daily Kos: CONFIRMED: New Study Proves That Fox News Makes You Stupid.

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What Progressives Don’t Understand About Obama – NYTimes.com

Thanks, to my friend Kirk, for forwarding this on to me.  This is very thought provoking to me…

Here is an excerpt and link to full article:

What the progressives forget is that black intellectuals have been called “paranoid,” “bitter,” “rowdy,” “angry,” “bullies,” and accused of tirades and diatribes for more than 100 years. Very few of them would have been given a grade above D from most of my teachers.

When these progressives refer to themselves as Mr. Obama’s base, all they see is themselves. They ignore polls showing steadfast support for the president among blacks and Latinos. And now they are whispering about a primary challenge against the president. Brilliant! The kind of suicidal gesture that destroyed Jimmy Carter — and a way to lose the black vote forever.

Unlike white progressives, blacks and Latinos are not used to getting it all. They know how it feels to be unemployed and unable to buy your children Christmas presents. They know when not to shout. The president, the coolest man in the room, who worked among the unemployed in Chicago, knows too.

via What Progressives Don’t Understand About Obama – NYTimes.com.

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Is the Payroll Tax Holiday a GOP Trojan Horse? | Mother Jones

This article makes me feel a little better about this…

I’m really worried about the GOP trying to find any sneaky way they can to undermine Social Security…

 

Part of the Obama tax deal is a small, one-year cut in the Social Security tax rate, and a fair number of liberal commenters are afraid that this is nothing more than a Trojan Horse for Republicans. After all, won’t they just come back a year from now and start screaming that if the cut is allowed to expire it’s a tax increase? Just like they’re doing with the Bush tax cuts? And won’t Democrats cave? And won’t that ruin Social Security’s finances, leading to demands for benefit cuts?

It might. But I think this worry is overblown. Here’s why:

Republicans don’t care about middle class taxes. They care about taxes on the rich. I don’t doubt for a second that they’ll make some noise a year from now about how Democrats are increasing your taxes, but their hearts won’t be in it. They’ll fight to the death over taxes on millionaires, but when it comes to payroll taxes it will just be pro forma partisan kvetching. (And the payroll tax cut expires in a year and isn’t linked to anything else. So it won’t be a hostage to upper bracket cuts.)

This is explicitly a one-year cut. Republicans all assumed that the 2001 Bush tax cuts would be renewed at some point, but no one is assuming that here. And 12 months isn’t long enough for conservative talkers to muddy the water on this score.

The public strongly associates payroll taxes with future Social Security benefits. Demagoguing payroll taxes simply doesn’t work as well as it does with income taxes.

Beltway elites are really, really obsessed with Social Security solvency. For once this will work in our favor. Calls to allow the cuts to continue will be met with almost unanimous establishment condemnation.

December 2011 is far enough away from an election that Democrats can withstand the moderate heat Republicans will put on them over this.

Bottom line: a few Republicans here and there will try to work that old-time tax jihad magic, but it won’t find much purchase. The tax cuts will expire on time with only modest fuss.

POSTSCRIPT: Am I underestimating just how craven and spineless Democratic pols can be? That’s always a possibility! But I don’t think so. In this case, luckily, most of the political incentives line up in the right direction.

via Is the Payroll Tax Holiday a GOP Trojan Horse? | Mother Jones.

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New drafts of Eisenhower’s farewell address : The New Yorker

Fascinating…

From The New Yorker:

One core idea dominates every version: the first draft described “the conjunction of a large and permanent military establishment and a large and permanent arms industry.” Policing it would require “all the organizing genius we possess” to insure “that liberty and security are both well served.” It added, “We must be especially careful to avoid measures which would enable any segment of this vast military-industrial complex to sharpen the focus of its power.” Through scores of revisions, that idea persisted. As delivered, the speech memorably read, “In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex.”

More:   New drafts of Eisenhower’s farewell address : The New Yorker.

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