Category Archives: The Economy

The Rich Catch Everyone Else’s Cutback Fever – NYTimes.com

This is not good news for our fragile economic recovery.  If the only people who have money aren’t spending it and consumer spending is the main driver of the recovery, then this is another danger sign of a possible double dip recession.

This is why the Senate has to pass Unemployment Insurance extensions and why we need to look at another economic stimulus.

I’ve said it before, until we get people working again, across the economic spectrum, by creating jobs, we are still in trouble.

You can’t just count on the Rich to drive the economy– anywhere but into the ground.

The Bush Years proved that…

The economic recovery has been helped in large part by the spending of the most affluent. Now, even the rich appear to be tightening their belts.

Late last year, the highest-income households started spending more confidently, while other consumers held back. But their confidence has since ebbed, according to retail sales reports and some economic analysis.

“One of the reasons that the recovery has lost momentum is that high-end consumers have become more jittery and more cautious,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody’s Analytics.

Link to full story:

via The Rich Catch Everyone Else’s Cutback Fever – NYTimes.com.

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Redo That Voodoo – NYTimes.com

Another great article from Paul Krugman.  I can’t believe the GOP, who wrecked our economy and took us from a budget surplus to budget deficits in the first place, has any credibility.  I can’t believe people don’t realize the Republican Party only cares about the Rich and the Corporations.

I think the GOP is counting on the American people proving P T Barnum’s theory that there’s a sucker born every minute.

I hope we prove them wrong.  These people are truly without morals.

Here are a couple of excerpts from Krugman’s article and a link to the full version at the end:

Republicans are feeling good about the midterms — so good that they’ve started saying what they really think. This week the party’s Senate leadership stopped pretending that it cares about deficits, stating explicitly that while we can’t afford to aid the unemployed or prevent mass layoffs of schoolteachers, cost is literally no object when it comes to tax cuts for the affluent.

and

Now there are many things one could call the Bush economy, an economy that, even before recession struck, was characterized by sluggish job growth and stagnant family incomes; “vibrant” isn’t one of them. But the real news here is the confirmation that Republicans remain committed to deep voodoo, the claim that cutting taxes actually increases revenues.

It’s not true, of course. Ronald Reagan said that his tax cuts would reduce deficits, then presided over a near-tripling of federal debt. When Bill Clinton raised taxes on top incomes, conservatives predicted economic disaster; what actually followed was an economic boom and a remarkable swing from budget deficit to surplus. Then the Bush tax cuts came along, helping turn that surplus into a persistent deficit, even before the crash.

But we’re talking about voodoo economics here, so perhaps it’s not surprising that belief in the magical powers of tax cuts is a zombie doctrine: no matter how many times you kill it with facts, it just keeps coming back. And despite repeated failure in practice, it is, more than ever, the official view of the G.O.P.

Why should this scare you? On paper, solving America’s long-run fiscal problems is eminently doable: stronger cost control for Medicare plus a moderate rise in taxes would get us most of the way there. And the perception that the deficit is manageable has helped keep U.S. borrowing costs low.

But if politicians who insist that the way to reduce deficits is to cut taxes, not raise them, start winning elections again, how much faith can anyone have that we’ll do what needs to be done? Yes, we can have a fiscal crisis. But if we do, it won’t be because we’ve spent too much trying to create jobs and help the unemployed. It will be because investors have looked at our politics and concluded, with justification, that we’ve turned into a banana republic.

via Op-Ed Columnist – Redo That Voodoo – NYTimes.com.

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Punishing the Unemployed – NYTimes.com

The latest from Paul Krugman about how our “leaders” in Washington are failing to do their job to help the long-term unemployed.  They seem to forget these folks are unemployed and still can’t get a job  as a result of the Republican mismanagement of the economy and the GOP lead  deregulation of the financial markets that led to the financial crisis causing all this pain.

Here is a sample:

There was a time when everyone took it for granted that unemployment insurance, which normally terminates after 26 weeks, would be extended in times of persistent joblessness. It was, most people agreed, the decent thing to do.

But that was then. Today, American workers face the worst job market since the Great Depression, with five job seekers for every job opening, with the average spell of unemployment now at 35 weeks. Yet the Senate went home for the holiday weekend without extending benefits. How was that possible?

The answer is that we’re facing a coalition of the heartless, the clueless and the confused. Nothing can be done about the first group, and probably not much about the second. But maybe it’s possible to clear up some of the confusion.

By the heartless, I mean Republicans who have made the cynical calculation that blocking anything President Obama tries to do — including, or perhaps especially, anything that might alleviate the nation’s economic pain — improves their chances in the midterm elections. Don’t pretend to be shocked: you know they’re out there, and make up a large share of the G.O.P. caucus.

By the clueless I mean people like Sharron Angle, the Republican candidate for senator from Nevada, who has repeatedly insisted that the unemployed are deliberately choosing to stay jobless, so that they can keep collecting benefits. A sample remark: “You can make more money on unemployment than you can going down and getting one of those jobs that is an honest job but it doesn’t pay as much. We’ve put in so much entitlement into our government that we really have spoiled our citizenry.”

Now, I don’t have the impression that unemployed Americans are spoiled; desperate seems more like it. One doubts, however, that any amount of evidence could change Ms. Angle’s view of the world — and there are, unfortunately, a lot of people in our political class just like her

Here is the link to the full column:

Op-Ed Columnist – Punishing the Unemployed – NYTimes.com.

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Robert Reich: Slouching Towards a Double-Dip or a Lousy Recovery at Best

More and more people I respect are sounding the alarm. But no one in Washington is listening…

It greatly disturbs me that no one calls out the Republicans on all this…Their policies caused the financial meltdown and they have done everything possible not to support the people they hurt and to hold back the Recovery for crass political reasons.  And the Democrats- especially the Blue Dogs- haven’t exactly done a great job standing up to them.

I can’t recall ever seeing such a failure of leadership on all sides.

Here is  another article on this subject, this time from Robert Reich, who says:

The people who are suffering the most from the failure of public officials and the greed of large bankers are the least able to endure it. Unemployment among people with four-year college degrees is barely over 5 percent; among high-school dropouts it’s over 25 percent. Those who have been jobless the longest or who have left the labor force altogether are men over fifty who are least likely to get back in. Families most in need are losing the services – state-supported Medicaid, child dental care, after-school programs for the kids, public transit – they most depend on.

And sadly, the people mentioned above still vote for Republicans.

Secretary Reich continues:

The irony is that had there been no bank bailout in 2008 and 2009, no large stimulus, and no extraordinary efforts by the Fed to pump trillions of dollars into the economy, we’d have had another Great Depression. And because it would have sucked almost everyone down with it, the nation would have demanded from politicians larger and more fundamental reforms that might well have lifted everyone, and set America and the world on a more sustainable path toward growth and shared prosperity: A stimulus that financed the rebuilding of the nation’s infrastructure and alternative energies, single-payer health care, a cap on the size of big banks and resurrection of Glass-Steagall, earnings insurance, an Earned Income Tax Credit that extended into the middle class, and a truly progressive tax coupled with a price on carbon to pay for all of this over the long term.

Link to full article:

Robert Reich: Slouching Towards a Double-Dip or a Lousy Recovery at Best.

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How the Republicans Would Govern

I’m glad to see the DNC is finally learning to fight back.

People need to remember who the Republican Party is really for:  The very rich and the Corporate interests.

Nothing and nobody else matters to them.

Here is a great new ad:

You might also want to check out these two previous posts of mine:

My Deepest, Darkest Secret:  https://lostinthe21stcentury.com/2010/03/25/my-deepest-darkest-secret/

A New Depression Due to Massive Stupidity?: https://lostinthe21stcentury.com/2010/06/30/a-new-depression-due-to-massive-stupidity/

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A New Depression Due to Massive Stupidity?

One of my biggest fears for the safety of the emerging economic recovery is Washington stupidity.  And it looks like my fears may be realized.

Several things have happened in Washington over the last week that have greatly disturbed me.

The first issue that’s disturbing me is the call by the Republican Leadership to raise the Social Security Retirement age to 70 and to cut Social Security benefits to support the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.  How about we end the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and use the money to cut the deficit and grow the economy by repairing our collapsing infrastructure– and create new jobs to support Green Energy instead?

And people need to realize that John Boehner, who is making these statements, would be in the driver’s seat to push this legislation if people were stupid enough to turn over power in the House of Representatives to the Republicans.  The idea of Speaker Boehner is very scary to me.  I’ve met the man.  He’s not the sharpest knife in the drawer…

The second issue that disturbs me is that, because the loud-mouthed Tea Party crowd has been screaming about cutting deficits, the soulless Republican Party- with the help of some ignorant and/or self-serving Democrats- is focusing on cutting the deficit before the fragile recovery has completely secured itself.  Herbert Hoover would be proud of them.

Thus far the Recovery has been dependent on Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending.  Numbers on both are not exactly stellar.

Paul Krugman, the Nobel Prize Winning Economist, put it best recently in his New York Times Column:

We are now, I fear, in the early stages of a third depression. It will probably look more like the Long Depression than the much more severe Great Depression. But the cost — to the world economy and, above all, to the millions of lives blighted by the absence of jobs — will nonetheless be immense.

And this third depression will be primarily a failure of policy. Around the world — most recently at last weekend’s deeply discouraging G-20 meeting — governments are obsessing about inflation when the real threat is deflation, preaching the need for belt-tightening when the real problem is inadequate spending.

Let’s be honest, the Republican Party does not want the economy to be in a robust recovery in November of this year.  They would rather wreck the recovery and the economy in order to use it as a political issue to gain seats in Congress.

Politics is always more important than the needs of the American People to today’s Republican’s.  They can thank the late Lee Atwater, Karl Rove, Dick Cheney and the rest of the George W Bush gang for installing that mindset in the GOP.  That’s why all the Republican’s and Ben Nelson- who is a Democrat in name only- voted this week not to extend Unemployment Insurance to millions or people who’s benefits are running out.  It’s why they also failed to provide funds to the States to prevent teachers, fire fighters and others from being laid off.

Let me say that again:  In the midst of one of the worst economic times in history, with millions of people unemployed, the Republican party blocked the extension of Unemployment benefits to people who desperately need them until more jobs are created.  They also blocked state funding that will put more people out of work.  This is today’s GOP.

Funny, how the Republicans are counting on people forgetting that they are the ones who created these deficits and the economic crisis causing these job losses.

Republican’s enabled the financial meltdown by deregulating Wall Street and the Banks.  Obama and the Democrats are trying to fix Republican mistakes and bad policy.  Remember, Bush inherited a substantial budget surplus when he took over from Bill Clinton.

Republicans are more than willing to sabotage the economic recovery to win seats in November.  If any behavior should be labeled “UnAmerican”, this behavior should be so labeled.  This is insane.

To be blunt, if no one else has the money to spend to create jobs, the government has to do so.  That is what got us this far on the recovery.  To stop now, puts us at risk of a double dip recession and a depression.  It’s clear, the “Best and the Brightest” are no longer running things in the Republican Party.  I also question the Democratic leadership–and  particularly the so-called conservative Blue Dog Democrats– for not realizing this and fighting back harder.

Once people go back to work, have money to spend and tax revenue rise due to a robust economy, then the deficit will start to come down from the economy growing, people making and spending money–and then we can look at cost cutting.  Particularly for wars that should be stopped sooner.

The economic recovery is far too fragile to pull back now.

My hope is that the American People are not as stupid as the Republican  leadership and won’t put these fools back in power.  If they do, we all will lose.  I hope the American people realize the game these people are playing and call them on it in November.

That’s a long way away… I hope they don’t do too much more damage in the meantime.

Here is the Link to the entire Paul Krugman Column:  http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/28/opinion/28krugman.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

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