Daily Kos: Jim Webb Re-Elect Numbers Look Good in Virginia

This is great news…

I’ve met George Allen.  He is dumb as dirt…

Jim Webb doesn’t always vote the way I would like, but he’s an honorable and brilliant man.  It’s increasingly rare for those to be elected in Virginia….

From DailyKos.com:

PPP. 11/10-13. Registered voters. MoE 4.2% (No trend lines)

Jim Webb (D) 49

George Allen (R) 45

Webb is under 50 percent, but the usual rules don’t apply — Allen is a pseudo incumbent himself, the guy Webb took out in 2006 and a former governor as well.

What makes these numbers surprising is that Virginia was rough territory for Democrats this year, losing several House seats. Democrats also lost the governorship last year. And given the current climate, well, it wouldn’t be a stretch to expect Webb to be suffering against a high-profile Republican.

But he’s holding his own.

Webb hasn’t been doing much fundraising (not that he ever did), thus sparking rumors that he may not run for reelection. In that case, our useless DNC chairman might be able to do something more useful — hold the seat for us.

Tim Kaine (D) 50

George Allen (R) 44

Now here’s the big caveat — these are REGISTERED voters, not likely votes. However, Tom Jensen at PPP says that in presidential years, the registered and likely voter models are extremely similar. While Virginia Democrats suffered under this year’s intensity gap, presidential elections bring out far more people, and in that case, Virginia looks much, much better.

This is good news not just for Senate Democrats, who face a brutal map in 2012, but for Barack Obama, who will face a much tougher reelection map unless the GOP gifts us with Sarah Palin.

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via Daily Kos: State of the Nation.

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