Future demographic trends strongly support a Democratic majority- if the Dems start acting like Dems.
There is also the great Education Divide.
There is also a big disconnect among White people based on education. I see it more and more with people I know. Educated people tend to break for the Democrats. This makes sense. If you can apply critical thinking skills, you just can’t buy the GOP agenda. Lesser educated Whites continue to vote GOP- for reasons I can’t fathom. These folks are seriously voting against their own interests, but you just can’t reason with them.
The GOP has built their focus on the Southern Strategy since Nixon. This is to appeal to uneducated, prejudiced White people. It worked for years, but there are fewer and fewer folks in this demographic profile. And it’s going to continue to die out….
I just hope the trends have moved far enough for this to work in 2012….
From the NY Times:
For decades, Democrats have suffered continuous and increasingly severe losses among white voters. But preparations by Democratic operatives for the 2012 election make it clear for the first time that the party will explicitly abandon the white working class.
All pretense of trying to win a majority of the white working class has been effectively jettisoned in favor of cementing a center-left coalition made up, on the one hand, of voters who have gotten ahead on the basis of educational attainment — professors, artists, designers, editors, human resources managers, lawyers, librarians, social workers, teachers and therapists — and a second, substantial constituency of lower-income voters who are disproportionately African-American and Hispanic.
It is instructive to trace the evolution of a political strategy based on securing this coalition in the writings and comments, over time, of such Democratic analysts as Stanley Greenberg and Ruy Teixeira. Both men were initially determined to win back the white working-class majority, but both currently advocate a revised Democratic alliance in which whites without college degrees are effectively replaced by well-educated socially liberal whites in alliance with the growing ranks of less affluent minority voters, especially Hispanics.