Tag Archives: Democrats

A Note from the Past: My 2010 Election Post

This is a revised post from 2010.  So much of it is still relevant, but a lot has changed since then.  And not for the better.  I’ll repost it more or less as is and use it as a starting point for my current political thoughts as we get closer to the election….

 

I’ve thought a lot about this over the last few days as we head to the 2010 election. For Progressive’s like me, it’s forecast to be a rough one who’s results may lead us backward as opposed to foreward.

And, once again, the South will lead us there. We’ve always been good at looking fondly backward in the South–whether the facts support it or not.  That makes for fertile ground for the Republicans.  I’ve always said:  “Republicans look backwards with Fear while Democrats look forward with Hope.

That got me thinking. Why is it the South is such a stronghold for the Republicans? Here are my thoughts:

  1. The South is heavy with fundamentalists and evangelical religions. These people have been played by the Republican Party like a cheap violin. Here is what I would say to them: Open your eyes. Under Bush, the Republicans controlled the government and did not ban abortion or execute any of the other points of your agenda. If they didn’t do it then, they won’t do it now. They are using you. Wise up.  
  2. There is a history of Patriarchy in the South that is not dead. Many people, especially in smaller towns and rural areas, still follow the leadership of local political leaders with little thought. They are used to being led without questions or taking time to check the facts because they think they “know” the person and he/she is “one of us.”  
  3. Education is not really valued by a large portion of Southerners. They are suspicious of the overly educated and think they don’t understand them. The Republicans are very good at playing dumb and coming off as one of the “good ole boys” while they use the votes of the poor whites in the South to channel money and benefits to their rich friends on Wall Street.
  4. Southerners resists looking at anything too deeply. Introspection is not valued in the South. Action is….The Republican’s play on this very well.
  5. Facts don’t mean much in the South. Truth has always been conceptual rather than a reality. Any region that can convince itself for over 150 years that the Civil War was about “states rights” rather than slavery is capable of any kind of self-delusion.
  6. The South tends to hate the idea of Big Government, even if they enjoy the benefits. They can over look little things like Social Security, Medicare, new bridges and highways, and insurance that covers pre-existing conditions and college kids. They somehow don’t make the connection that the federal government provides these things…
  7. Southerners value personal freedom above all else, as long as you are a straight white man.
  8. The President is Black and he’s a Democrat. To a large group of folks in the South, this alone is enough reason to vote Republican. Although you may never get them to admit it…

What can Democrats do to change all this and win the South?

  1. Learn to fight. The South and most of the Country values people who stand up for their principles. The GOP has Balls and the Democrats have Brains. You have to have both to win in the South.
  2. Push for independent, bipartisan redistricting commissions.
  3. Get out your message. We’ve got to publicize the benefits of the legislation we do pass and how it helps the poor and middle class as opposed to the Rich. The Democrats and The President have failed miserably at this for the few years. We have real achievements, but no one knows it.
  4. Take on the bullies at Fox News. We have got to make people realize this is not a news organization, but a propaganda machine that provides entertainment to the ignorant. We should be pushing companies not to advertise on Fox News. We should be telling the Management to turn it off in Public places like restaraunts and gyms.
  5. Call a liar a liar. This relates to number 1, but I can’t stress this enough. The Republicans look right in the camera and lie. And no one calls them on it. We have to start making people aware that there are things called “Facts” and stand up for them.
  6. Make this about Class Warfare. A class war is going on for years and most of the country just started to realize this. And the Republicans started it. Call’em on it. 
  7. Make it clear: Unless you have an individual income of greater than $200,000 or a combined Family income of over $300,000, there is absolutely no financial reason to vote for the Republicans. If you want to vote for what is best for your pocketbook, vote for the Democrats. The Republicans really only answer to the Corporations and the wealthy.
  8. Make Obama white. That’s about the only way you can get about 35% of white Southerners to support the Democrats. We have to focus on the remaining 65% of the South with open minds.
  9. Wait it out….The older, closed minded, prejudiced Southerners are dying off. The younger ones are more open minded,  better educated and have seen more of the world. These are the Southern Democrats of tomorrow.
  10. Make your Democratic friends vote. Even if you have to go to their house or job and throw them in the car and take them to the polls. There are more Democrats than Republicans in many parts of the South. The problem is Republicans always vote and Democrats don’t. If more Democrats would actually just show up at the polls, we would win a lot more races.

Those are my thoughts for now.

All I have left to say is:

If you are a Democrat, get off your butt and vote. There are no excuses.

If you are a Republican-why don’t you just book a spa day for Tuesday and let the election go? That would really be best for all of us….

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Filed under Elections, North Carolina, Politics, Scott's Commentary, The South

Just When You Thought I Was Out….I’m Back!

Believe it or not, I’m back to this blog.

I state this publicly as insurance that I will follow through….

I needed some time away.  I focused on my other blog for a while….

But it’s time to come back where I started.

Thank you for your patience.

I originally started this blog to ironically address things that where lost as we moved to the 21st Century.  Then I realized, I was at risk of becoming a grumpy old man screaming at children to get off my lawn.  I never wanted to be that….

A lot has happened over the last couple of years to make me re-evaluate a lot of things.  I’ve changed jobs and careers.  I’ve lost some important people in my life.  I’ve rethought how best to address our political differences….

But I’m fundamentally the same.

How will  this blog be going forward?  I’m not sure….

I want to be kinder and gentler.  More open to dialogue about politics and less judgmental.  I mean well…It doesn’t do anyone any good to sit at home and scream at their TV- or vent on their blogs.  We need to talk to each other civilly and with an open mind and heart.

We need to listen to each other….

But if that fails, screw it.  I’ve never been shy about my opinions.

There is just too much insanity in Politics in North Carolina, Virginia and the U.S.A for me to keep my mouth shut.  This is what is making me come back.  I can’t just sit on the sidelines…

Circumstances pulled me back in…..

I’m trying to be less political on Facebook, so expect more political posts here instead.  But I realize there are other blogs that do politics much better than I ever could.  This will just be what catches my interests and makes me want to share or comment.  I don’t promise in-depth analysis, but I do promise lots of opinion.

Culturally, I plan to be just as judgmental as ever.  I’ll post about what I like and what I don’t…..

And I hope we can pick up the dialogue we suspended when I stepped away….

Again, thanks for our patience….

Let’s roll!

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Demographic Shifts That Are Sinking The Republican Party

There is a lot of good news for Democrats and bad news for Republicans in this article from ThinkProgress.org.  It makes it even more obvious how the GOP’s days in power are numbered.

I find the information on education and the value of a college degree especially interesting….

However, there are interesting facts relating to education and the value of a degree as well.  Here are a couple of excerpts and a link to the full article:

The 25 top counties for net Democratic vote gain include many of the most populous counties in the country. They include Los Angeles at the top, eight of the ten most populous (LA, plus Cook [Chicago], San Diego and Orange [CA], Dallas, Kings [Brooklyn], Queens and Miami-Dade) and 15 of the top 25 most populous. The rest, without exception, are large counties that include a major city or are urbanized inner suburbs of a major city. The magnitude of Democratic gains in the top 25 ranges from 1.2 million in LA down to around 140,000.

The top gainers for the GOP, in contrast, tend to be in much smaller counties on the periphery of metropolitan areas (“exurbs”). The top 25 GOP gainers include no county in the US top 25 in population and include only one in the top 50. And the magnitude of GOP gains in the top 25 is much smaller than those enjoyed by the Democrats. Indeed, the largest GOP net gain of all—90,000 in Provo county, Utah–is not only smaller than the 25th ranked gain for the Democrats (140,000) but also smaller than Democratic gains all the way down to the 61st ranked Democratic gainer county.

Democratic strength in dense areas is clearly one reason for the Democrats’ increasing electoral potency, particularly in Presidential elections. Conversely, the concentration of GOP gains in more lightly-populated areas limits their strength now and in the future…

AND

The report notes that 34 percent of Millennial generation 25-32 year olds have a four year college degree, compared to 25 percent among Gen Xers at the same age, 24 percent among both late and early Boomers and just 13 percent among those from the Silent generation. Millennials are also receiving the highest relative values from their degrees. A Millennial college graduate has median earnings of $45,500, compared to just $28,000 for a Millennial high school graduate. Back in 1965, the gap was much narrower: a Silent Generation college graduate earned $38,800 (2012 dollars) while a high school graduate earned $31,400.

via The Hidden Demographic Shifts That Are Sinking The Republican Party | ThinkProgress.

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Some Thoughts on the Virginia Elections

I’m still recovering from the heart palpitations and adrenaline rush from waiting out the Virginia election results tonight and wanted to capture my thoughts while they are still fresh.

Before commenting, let me remind some of you of my background.  I was born, raised and educated in Virginia.  I lived there until about 25 years ago.  Also, about 25 years ago- and please sit down now- I worked as paid campaign staff for Republican candidates.  That was prior to my “road to Damascus” moment when I realized I really wasn’t a Republican.  That was also prior to the GOP going completely crazy….There once were socially liberal Republicans.

Like a lot of people, I became a Democrat by choice and after much thought.  That’s the difference between the GOP and the Dems.  Democrats think.  Sometimes too much…

Anyway….

The Virginia gubernatorial election today should not have been this close.  It was a nail bitter.  Let me give you my perspective as to why:

  1. Both Candidates had very high negative ratings in polling.  No one loved Terry McAuliffe, but a lot of people hated Ken Cuccinnelli more.  This was not a scenario to drive Democratic turnout.  People are much more likely to show up to vote for someone than against someone.  I’m not sure if McAuliffe could have defeated any other Republican as he was not beloved by anyone.  Again, anti-Cuccinnelli hatred was the motivating factor to Democrats and hate doesn’t really drive Dems like it does Republicans.
  2. The polls, for the last few weeks, were showing a blowout.  People thought they didn’t need to make the effort to go vote against Cuccinnelli as it looked safe that McAuliffe would win.
  3. Nothing makes the Tea Party madder and motivates them more than polls showing their candidate will lose.
  4. Virginia does not have any early voting.  It takes an extra effort for working people and poor people to go to the polls.  Thinking McAuliffe was a safe win, they didn’t make that extra effort.
  5. The Religious Wrong and old white people will vote for their candidates, like Cuccinnelli, come hell or high water.  I wish we could find a way to instill that drive in Democratic voters.
  6. I don’t know to what extent Voter ID laws suppressed Democratic turnout, but I’m sure it did.  Unfortunately, it doesn’t take much to suppress Democratic turnout.
  7. Thank god for Northern Virginia and the Government shutdown.  That motivated people in Northern Virginia, who are heavily Democratic to turn out.

As I said, this should not have been this close, but it was.  It wasn’t close enough to effectively end Ken Cuccinnelli’s political career or kill the Tea Party.  Those are the real negative repercussions.  This battle will continue.

The good news is that the absolutely bat shit crazy GOP Lt Governor candidate went down in flames.  This gives us a well positioned Democrat to run for Governor in Virginia in 4 years when, due to Virginia law which prevents Governors from seeking re-election,  McAuliffe won’t be eligible to run.  The other bit of good news is that McAuliffe ran on very left-of-center positions and still won.  Even though he was personally unpopular.  That proves that Progressive positions are not a death sentence even in a state still as conservative as Virginia.

It looks like the Attorney General’s race in Virginia is still too close to call.   Right now, Democrat Mark Herring is down by fewer than 200 votes.  That total has been changing constantly and the winner flipping back and forth.   The results of this race will prove interesting down the road.  This office is usually a stepping stone to future gubernatorial candidates.  The Republican candidate, Mark Obenshain, is the son of conservative Republican Richard “Dick” Obenshain who was killed in a plane crash while running for the U.S. Senate seat ultimately won my John Warner in 1978.  He has a legacy and could be a real threat as a future gubernatorial candidate- and he is very Conservative but not as Conservative as Cuccinnelli and defeated Lt Governor candidate E.W Jackson.  Since both Cuccinnelli and Jackson are crazy Tea Party Conservatives, this does not mean much in comparison.  The GOP had all their hope on Obenshain as even they had written off Cuccinnelli and Jackson.

One other thought.  E.W. Jackson was not only crazy, he was Black.  Ralph Northam beat him by 10 points in the Lt Governor’s race, by far the largest spread of the night.  To me, this proves the Tea Party will support any right-wing lunatic- as long as he is white….

 

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Good News in the Virginia Governor’s Race

Good news from my birth state.

It looks like the super conservative Tea Party favorite and hero of the Religious Wrong, Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Ken Cuccinelli, is going down hard….

This is especially telling given that Democratic Candidate Terry McAuliffe is far from a perfect candidate himself.  The leading state news paper, the Richmond Times Dispatch declined to endorse this year…

This is great news for Democrats overall and especially in Virginia!

From PoliticsUSA.com:

The Virginia governor’s race that some thought might shed light on the leanings of the 2014 electorate has turned into a rout as Democrat Terry McAuliffe leads Ken Cuccinelli By 18 points.

Things are so bad for Virginia Republicans that GOP pollster Rasmussen has McAuliffe leading Cuccinelli 50%-33%. Libertarian Robert Sarvis is third at 8%. In case you don’t trust Rasmussen polls, and you shouldn’t, PPP has a new poll of early voters that shows McAuliffe leading Cuccinelli by 18 points with early voters.

via Democrat Terry McAuliffe Is Blowing Out Ken Cuccinelli By 17 Points In Virginia.

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NC House Republicans File Voter ID Bill

Here we go again….

And since there is no longer a Democratic Governor to veto this, it will probably pass this year….

Another attempt by the Republicans to block voters who don’t vote for them…

With demographic trends against them, the GOP’s only hope to stay in power is voter suppression- hence the bills to limit early voting, require voter ID and restrict College student voting….

They can’t continue to win on policy- even with their gerrymandered districts-so they are trying to win anyway they can-no matter the cost to Democracy…

From WRAL.com:

 

RALEIGH, N.C. — House Speaker Thom Tillis and Republican House leaders have filed a new proposal to require photo identification for voters.

House Bill 589, entitled the Voter Identification Verification Act, or VIVA, was filed Thursday afternoon, after what Tillis said was “a transparent and deliberative process” of seeking public input.

“This bill has had more discussion than anything in recent history,” said House Elections Committee Co-chairman Tim Moore.

Under the proposal, beginning in 2016, voters would be required to show a photo ID at the polls. The bill would allow “multiple forms of state-issued ID,” according to Rep. Tom Murry, R-Wake, including tribal cards, public university IDs and state employee IDs. Private university IDs would not qualify.

Voters without a photo ID will be allowed to cast a provisional ballot but would have to return to their local board of elections with a valid photo ID to have the ballot counted.

via House Republicans file voter ID bill :: WRAL.com.

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NC Legislators Propose More Rigorous Divorce Regulations

The North Carolina GOP has really been busy this week….

Busy trying to piss off as many people as possible….

So far, they’ve introduced legislation to establish a State Religion and ignore the Constitution, to block Student voters, to repeal racial justice legislation, privatize medicaid and now…

They want to make it more difficult to get a divorce in North Carolina.

See, they have something for everyone!  Not just Gay people, Black people, Young people….Everyone!

Who do they think is going to be left who is not too pissed off to vote for them?

As I’ve said before, it takes a rare kind of ineptitude for the Dems not to be able to defeat this crew of crazies….

From the Raleigh News and Observer….

A pair of Republican lawmakers want to make it harder to get a divorce in North Carolina by making estranged couples wait longer and go to counseling.

The Healthy Marriage Act would extend to two years the current one-year waiting period in order for a divorce to be finalized. During that time, the couple would have to complete courses on improving their communications skills and conflict resolution.

If the couple has children, they would have to take at least a four-hour class on the impact of divorce on children.

Veteran Sen. Austin Allran of Hickory is the primary sponsor. Second term Sen. Warren Daniel of Morganton has signed on to Senate Bill 518.

Separated couples could resume living together during the two-year waiting period, under the bill. Either the husband or the wife would have to have lived in North Carolina for six months before filing for divorce.

It would also strike from the current law a provision that says “isolated incidents of sexual intercourse” don’t count against the one-year waiting period. It’s not clear if that means an occasional fling with your estranged partner does count against you under the proposed law.

via NC legislators propose more rigorous divorce regulations | State Politics | NewsObserver.com.

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